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Investor Notes I Sectoral Winners I How to use AI for stock research
Weekly Insights and Impact
Vivek B
June 01, 2025
The fall and the rise – Winners, Laggards and how traditional themes are reverting to mean
• The RBI annual report on the Indian economy projects a very healthy and strong picture, providing much-needed reaffirmation in these times of uncertainty (Article link below).
• Our own GoalTeller analytics on MF’s and sectors demonstrate how private banks (something we had been harping all through 2024, though the story played out much later than we expected) have done very well in the past couple of quarters, IT was a major underperformer, and more (see visual above).
• Indian markers are caught in a quagmire right now - on whether to jump ahead on domestic fundamentals or worry about global uncertainties, especially on the tariff and currency fronts.
• The overall quarterly results were better than expected, especially on the profitability side (showing impressive cost control and balance sheet clean-up measures by companies to compensate for the lack of high sales growth).
• As of now, we continue to have the same positioning of being cautious for equity-heavy investors for now; however, as we see a time correction, our buy/ sell/ hold levels will gradually move upwards as we approach the next quarterly results next month.
• In case the Russian conflict doesn’t reach a conclusion along with other trade deals, Gold could move higher from here.
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