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Mkt in Neutral Territory I Crude Crash I 25 stock ideas I AI tricks
Weekly Insights and Impact
Vivek B
May 04, 2025
Crude Crash – A blessing for India
• The Indian markets closed largely flat through the week.
• The Nasdaq recovered from lows as tech earnings surpassed estimates (We had given a 25% exit call on Nasdaq at 19.5k odd levels earlier this year, and we would recommend investors to exit another 25% at around 18.5k levels if that surpasses).
• We are in a neutral territory now from an actionable perspective.
• India looks well poised to do well over the next few quarters, and a new high is likely in this next 6-9 months (albeit as mentioned earlier the leadership will be very different with very specific pockets of outperformance and not the way we have been used to in the post Covid period).
• In the short term we would look at pausing STP’s beyond 24.5 levels (Lot of clients asking us why are we stopping STP’s – whether we believe markets could fall – it’s actually the quite contrary – we feel markets could have a breakout on the upside in the near future and hence we wish to pause incremental allocations for the time being – Mind You – this is only for investors who are having reasonable decent exposures to equity. We always believe in allocation zones viz. Equity allocation to be between 50% - 70%, and if markets go beyond 24.5k – 25k, we will first a) Pause incremental allocations and b) If it goes beyond 25.5k look at reducing and bringing exposures down to 50% and not lower and then stick to 50%.
